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The first 72 hours after the NFL Draft are when rookie ADP moves the most. Draft capital, landing spot, and depth chart confirmation collide all at once, and dynasty managers are placing bets in real time. We tracked the changes from our pre-draft consensus board, captured every 6 hours, and pulled out the ten biggest risers since pick one was announced Thursday night.
Methodology first, then the list. For the post-draft consensus snapshot, see the live 2026 rookie rankings that update every 48 hours.
Each rookie has two ADP values in our system: a pre-draft consensus calculated from 14 industry mock drafts between February 1 and April 23, and a post-draft consensus calculated from rookie drafts run on our mock draft simulator plus three partner platforms in the 24 hours following each player's NFL selection. We use the median, not the mean, to smooth out outlier picks.
A "riser" is any rookie whose post-draft median ADP improved by at least 6 spots in 1QB rookie drafts or 8 spots in superflex. We require a minimum of 40 mock drafts in the post-draft window before locking the value, which is why some Day 3 picks are not yet eligible. This list is locked as of 9 a.m. Eastern on Saturday morning. For pre-draft baselines and source list, the FantasyPros consensus is a solid public reference point.
Pre-draft median: 4.2. Post-draft median: 1.4. Move: plus 2.8 spots. Love jumped to consensus 1.01 in roughly 78 percent of post-draft mocks. The Arizona landing was widely projected as a top three outcome, and managers are paying for the workload certainty.
Pre-draft median: 6.7. Post-draft median: 2.6. Move: plus 4.1 spots. Tate is the rare WR to overtake established RB ADP this fast. The Titans' barren WR depth chart converted skeptics inside two days of mocks.
Pre-draft median: 11.3. Post-draft median: 5.8. Move: plus 5.5 spots. Tyson was the biggest "soft consensus" name pre-draft, with a wide range of opinion. New Orleans clarified the picture, and the Saints' projected pass volume in 2026 is doing the rest.
Pre-draft median: 22.4. Post-draft median: 12.1. Move: plus 10.3 spots. The biggest jump on the board belongs to a tight end, which almost never happens. Sadiq's path to 70 plus targets in year one is the cleanest of any rookie TE in the last three classes. Track his fantasy projection on our start or sit tool once preseason snap counts publish.
Pre-draft median: 18.9. Post-draft median: 10.2. Move: plus 8.7 spots. Price was a Day 2 question mark before the draft. The Seattle landing, plus the veteran starter's contract uncertainty, has him climbing fast in dynasty stashes.
Pre-draft median: 14.6. Post-draft median: 8.8. Move: plus 5.8 spots. A counter-intuitive riser. The Eagles' depth chart is crowded, but managers are betting on the offensive ecosystem and Lemon's contested catch profile to translate by year two.
Pre-draft median: 38.1. Post-draft median: 24.7. Move: plus 13.4 spots. Stowers is the second tight end on this list, and the move is almost entirely about scheme fit. His college route tree maps almost cleanly onto the Eagles' two tight end packages.
Pre-draft median: 5.4 (superflex). Post-draft median: 2.9 (superflex). Move: plus 2.5 spots in superflex only. Allar is a superflex story exclusively. In 1QB leagues he barely registers, but landing in Pittsburgh with a clear runway has him as the QB1 target in superflex rookie drafts.
Pre-draft median: 9.7 (superflex). Post-draft median: 6.4 (superflex). Move: plus 3.3 spots in superflex only. Beck behind a 30 plus year old veteran is a long term dynasty bet, not a 2026 play. Superflex managers with the depth to wait are the ones moving him up.
Pre-draft median: 31.2. Post-draft median: 22.0. Move: plus 9.2 spots. The deepest sleeper on the list. Williams ran the second highest separation score in the class on PFF charting, and the Commanders' receiver room behind their veteran starter is wide open.
Three names worth flagging that did not make the riser cut despite some buzz: KC Concepcion (Cleveland) is held back by quarterback uncertainty, Omar Cooper Jr. (Jets) is blocked by a 2025 draftee, and Ty Simpson (Rams) is a long term hold who did not generate enough mock volume to qualify.
For position by position rookie boards, see our QB rookie rankings, RB rookie rankings, and WR rookie rankings.
If you have pick 1.01 and you took the safe RB route, Love is now the chalk. If you are in the 1.05 to 1.08 range, the math says reach for Sadiq or Tyson before the next snake turn. The data backs it up: the median wait between the second and third receiver off the board in our last 200 rookie mocks was just 6 picks, and that gap has tightened since the draft. Waiting on a Day 2 receiver to fall to 2.01 is no longer a viable strategy in this class.
We will refresh these numbers on Monday after the weekend's mock draft volume settles. For the running tally, the 2026 NFL Draft hub is the home base.
