Player photos courtesy of ESPN.
Loading...
Loading...
We use cookies for analytics and advertising to keep TheFantasyPicks free. These run by default; you can opt out anytime with Reject or via Cookie Settings. See our Privacy Policy.
Sponsored affiliate link.
Player photos courtesy of ESPN.
Ranking moves, risers and fallers, and new posts. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
Week 1 is the hardest lineup you will set all year, because there is no in-season data to lean on. All you have is role, health, and matchup, and the noise from August makes even those feel shaky. The 2026 season runs from Wednesday, September 9 through Monday, September 14, so most managers lock lineups this weekend or early next week. Here are the calls that actually matter, split into the ones you can trust, the ones to fade or temper, and the two coin-flips worth monitoring right up to kickoff.
Jahmyr Gibbs, RB, Detroit (vs. New Orleans). Gibbs was a first-round pick before any of the recent news, and he is a stronger one now. Detroit signed Isiah Pacheco to handle early-down and short-yardage work, but Pacheco landed on injured reserve with a back injury and will miss at least the first four games, which turns Gibbs into a true every-down back in one of the league's best offenses. Start him as a top-tier RB1 at home and do not think twice.
Travis EtienneTravis Etienne, RB, New Orleans (at Detroit). New Orleans gave Etienne a four-year, $52 million deal in the offseason, and Alvin Kamara removed any remaining doubt about the pecking order by suffering an MCL sprain that is expected to cost him about a month. That makes Etienne the clear lead back to open the year. Even on the road, a bell-cow role is worth an RB2 start with weekly upside.
Ja'Marr ChaseJa'Marr Chase, WR, Cincinnati (vs. Tampa Bay). Chase gave managers a scare with a hyperextended knee in camp and will be limited in practice this week, but head coach Zac Taylor said he feels good about him and the Bengals expect him to play. Do not overthink an elite WR1 over a minor tweak. Start him as the every-week WR1 he is, and simply confirm he is on the field before Sunday.
Chuba Hubbard, RB, Carolina (vs. Chicago). Hubbard's hamstring is on track, but head coach Dave Canales has described a genuine committee with Jonathon Brooks, one back on early downs and the other on passing downs. That caps Hubbard's ceiling. He is a fringe RB2 or flex in Week 1, not the workhorse his name suggests, so set your expectations accordingly rather than counting on a bell-cow line.
The Green Bay backfield (at Minnesota). Josh Jacobs opens the season on the commissioner's exempt list, which leaves a committee of Kaleb Johnson and MarShawn Lloyd with no defined lead back, on the road in a division game at Minnesota. There is real long-term value in whoever wins the job, but Week 1, with no established roles and a tough spot, is not the time to trust either one as a starter.
The Seattle backfield (vs. New England). This room emptied out over the offseason. Kenneth Walker III left for Kansas City in free agency, and Zach Charbonnet opens on the reserve/PUP list as he finishes his ACL rehab, so Seattle turns to a committee of George Holani and power back Emanuel Wilson. Until a clear lead emerges, leave the Seattle backfield out of your lineup entirely.
Ashton Jeanty, RB, Las Vegas (vs. Miami). Jeanty still has not practiced since spraining his ankle in late August, but general manager John Spytek said he is in a "good spot" in his recovery, and the coaching staff keeps saying it is counting on him. If he is active, start him without hesitation. The move is to keep his handcuff and a bench pivot ready, and to watch the Thursday and Friday practice reports before you commit.
Malik Nabers, WR, New York Giants (vs. Dallas). Nabers has been cleared for full-contact work and practiced without the red non-contact jersey for the first time this summer, real progress in his return from a torn ACL. But he has not committed to Week 1 himself, and the team has signaled it will not force it. Roster him as the WR1 he is, but treat the Sunday night opener as a game-time decision and have a contingency ready in case the final call goes the cautious way.
The through-line for Week 1 is simple: start the players whose volume is locked in regardless of matchup, avoid the true committees until a lead back emerges, and keep a pivot ready for the names that are still game-time calls. Gibbs, Etienne, and Chase are set-and-forget starts; the Green Bay and Seattle backfields are the ones to leave on your bench; and Jeanty and Nabers are the two to watch right up to kickoff. Check where all of these players land in our rankings, pressure-test the murky backfields in the mock draft simulator, and see how the best ball tool prices the committees. For the full read on the backfields in flux, our running back breakdown has each room, and the Week 1 injury watch covers the rest of the health picture. Then check the official injury report before you lock anything in.